AS WE START A NEW DAY ON WALL STREET …. MAY THE INVESTMENT GOD’S BE WITH YOU ………          NEWS FLASH … ……………..   NEWS OF INTEREST:     According to Coin Schedule,  Initial Coin Offerings (ICO’s) have raised $1.25 billion this year, which has now outpaced all global Angel & Seed stage Internet VC funding………….   Soda consumption in the United States fell to a 31-year low in 2016, according to statistics at Beverage-Digest, and the decline can mainly be attributed to waning demand among health-conscious consumers, what a difference 31 years makes. But in an interesting twist, Coca-Cola’s stock price is sitting at an all time record!  …….  Personal savings rates are falling sharply… According to newly revised government data, Bloomberg reports that American households scaled back their pace of savings to the lowest level in nine years at the end of 2016 as the growth of their wages and salaries slowed and Obama care health related expenses climbed dramatically ……..Credit Suisse is out with a report saying “one of the major features of the U.S. equity market since the low in 2009 is that the U.S. corporate sector has bought 18% of the overall market cap, while institutions have sold 7% of the market cap! What this means is that there has been only one buyer of stock: the companies themselves, who have engaged in the greatest debt-funded buyback spree in history  …………..  Has SILVER production peaked! 2016 was the first year in more than a decade that saw SILVER production decrease year over year. Add to that SILVER has also been trading at a physical deficit to demand for the last 4 years and 5 of the last 6 years and is expected to continue at a deficit again in 2017…. Even more interesting – 70% of SILVER is produced as a byproduct of Copper mining and Lead/Zinc mining operations meaning that there is real scarcity once demand picks up…. Howmuch.net recently released a report showing that the top 5 states in the U S contributed to 40% of the total U S GDP. The leading state was California at $2.11 trillion or 13% of total U S GDP, second was Texas at $1.46 trillion or 9.5% of GDP and third was New York at $1.28 trillion or 8.4%. Ranked number 4 and 5 were Florida at $769 billion or 4.8% and Illinois at $680 billion or 6.3% …….         NEWS OF INTEREST: The U.S. marriage rate has dropped from 8.2 per 1,000 in year 2000 – to its lowest rate ever at 6.8 per 1,000 based on most resent statistics ……..      NEWS OF INTEREST: The Buffett Indicator which measures corporate equities as a percent of GDP shows that the stock markets are now at their second highest valuation point in history – 127.17% of GDP.  The record stands at 153.62% of  GDP,  and was reached at the top of the market back in 2000.   Stocks are now over 2 standard deviations above the mean of approximately 74% of GDP ……….       Census         News:    The U.S. Census Bureau Homeownership Data.  It Confirmed That The Homeownership Rate Continued To Fall To A New Multi Year Low, Coming In At 63.5%, Which Is Just Off The Lowest Reading Since The First Quarter Of 1967.   The All Time Record Home-ownership Low Stands Just Below That At 62.9%, And Was reached 50 Years Ago In 1965 At 62.95%   ……….               NEWS OF INTEREST:    Meet BRAEBURN CAPITAL, The Worlds Largest “Hedge Fund”, Managing $203 Billion …….. Braeburn Capital is the worlds largest hedge fund, and is more than $30 billion larger then what was previously thought to be the largest hedge fund in the world, that being Ray Dallio’s Bridgewater. But the question of the day is – has anybody ever heard of Braeburn Capital? Hint …… Braeburn’s headquartered in Reno Nevada, and it’s mother company is a Cupertino-based company that got its start in a garage many years ago. Still wondering, well here’s a second hint….The company is named after a fruit of which the old saying goes, one _ _ _ _ _ a day is said to keep the doctor away! Got it …. Yes, If you guessed Apple you’re right. Apple is the owner of Braeburn Capital of Reno Nevada and Braeburn’s job is to manage all of Apples cash. And as you can tell by now, Apple has a big stash of cash to invest!                     NEWS OF INTEREST: A recently Released USA TODAY/ PEW RESEARCH Poll Shows That 75% Of Americans See Politicians As Corrupt; 2-to-1 Now Distrust The Police ……….       New Flash ……. Bloomberg:  The CEOs of 350 Standard & Poor’s 500 companies made 331 times more than their employees in 2012, up from a ratio of 46-to-1 in 1983 …. Technology News Flash ….. Did You Know That BlackBerry Has Recently Released The Worlds Most Private Super Secure Tablet, Using IBM Confidential Data Software and in Collaboration with Samsung …. Question: Is The BlackBerry SecuTablet Uncrackable? The German Government Thinks So, And Have Already Placed Their Order!           News Of Interest …. Former SEC Director John Ramsay Admits: The Markets Are Rigged, SEC Director of Trading & Markets, John Ramsay tells Bloomberg he ”had red tape over his mouth,” but now he is ”uncorked.” He says the current markets of today are built to favor insiders and that the system is broken! Ramsay goes on to say, “The current market ecosystem is not sustainable, and significant changes are coming one way or another,” ………. .DATELINE 2015:        The Census Bureau Announced That Home-Ownership Continues On A Downward Slide And Is Now Back To 1994 Ownership Levels Of 64%. Accordingly, 2014 Was The Largest Decline In Home-Ownership Rates Ever!            DATELINE NEWS …… Bond Guru JEFF GUNDLACH of DOUBLE LINE CAPITAL said today that he thinks ALL of the job creation since 2007 has been oil fracking related. As proof, he says that if you extract the data from Texas and North Dakota, you will see no growth in what remains. GUNDLACH thinks this may present a real problem for the Fed and the economy!       DATELINE NEWS: DEBT …… Total Credit Market Debt has grow at an exponential clip of 8% per annum over the last 6 decades. Chris Martinson says we are now in the servicing of our debt ”business” which enriches no one. Even worse, nobody knows how to fix it!         DATELINE NEWS OF INTEREST…… Charity Group Oxfam Research said in a report published recently, that the share of world wealth owned by the top 1% has increased from 44% in 2009 to 48% in 2014 and is expected to reach 50% next year, while the least well-off 80% currently own just 5.5% of world wealth! The scale of global inequity is simply staggering! It is the widest wealth gap ever seen in world history.       DATELINE NEWS: California is set to become the 7th largest economy in the world by surpassing Russia, Italy and very soon Brazil. Interestingly Brazil’s population is five times larger then California’s! California leads the United States in agriculture, technology and manufacturing revenue and has more S&P 500 companies headquartered there than any other state! But there is room for improvement as California has the highest poverty rate in the nation at close to 25%.         DATELINE 2015….. Records are made to be broken, but not this one … The S&P 500 did not drop more than two consecutive days during the entire year of 2014, this is a new all-time record, and one that will probably never again be broken ……

IMH
13.91
+0.36
+2.66%
 
IBM
142.5
+0.43
+0.30%
 
NEM
36.13
+0.36
+1.01%
 
AXU
1.435
+0.065
+4.745%
 
MRK
62.7
+0.2
+0.32%
 
DD
82.01
+0.43
+0.53%
 
XOM
77.47
-0.57
-0.73%
 
MRO
11.19
-0.34
-2.95%
 
AA
39.23
+1.73
+4.61%
 
SSRI
9.56
-0.15
-1.54%
 
F
10.8
-0.04
-0.37%
 
MCD
158.9
+1.28
+0.81%
 
GM
35.75
+0.21
+0.59%
 
DOW
63.94
+0.27
+0.42%
 
UK
20.5
0.00
0.00%
 
TXN
82.46
+0.51
+0.62%
 
GG
13.03
+0.3
+2.36%
 
IMH
13.91
+0.36
+2.66%
 
IBM
142.5
+0.43
+0.30%
 
NEM
36.13
+0.36
+1.01%
 
AXU
1.435
+0.065
+4.745%
 
MRK
62.7
+0.2
+0.32%
 
DD
82.01
+0.43
+0.53%
 
XOM
77.47
-0.57
-0.73%
 
MRO
11.19
-0.34
-2.95%
 
AA
39.23
+1.73
+4.61%
 
SSRI
9.56
-0.15
-1.54%
 
F
10.8
-0.04
-0.37%
 
MCD
158.9
+1.28
+0.81%
 
GM
35.75
+0.21
+0.59%
 
DOW
63.94
+0.27
+0.42%
 
UK
20.5
0.00
0.00%
 
TXN
82.46
+0.51
+0.62%
 
GG
13.03
+0.3
+2.36%
 
Top 10 Crowded Trades Both Long and Short

Top 10 Crowded Trades Both Long and Short

Pay attention class – Lemmings have the reputation of acting in suicidal concert: Hmm…

Here are the Top 10 most crowded long and short trades according to UBS, and not surprisingly, it’s all tech among the top 5 longs, which include Google, Alibaba, Amazon (a jump from 8th spot as of the last ranking), Facebook and Visa (with AAPL sliding into 6th spot), while on the short side one name stands out: Tesla in the perennial top slot…

Education Costs Finally Bounce Off Supply And Demand Constaints

Education Costs Finally Bounce Off Supply And Demand Constaints

The slowdown in education costs may have other meanings to the economy…

Abundant supply is running up against demand constraints. The number of two-year and four-year colleges increased 33% between 1990 and 2012 to 4,726, Education Department data show. But college enrollment is down more than 4% from a peak in 2010, partly because a healthy job market means fewer people are going back to school to learn new skills.

Some of these trends may persist. The number of high-school graduates is projected to remain flat through 2023, according to an analysis by the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education. White graduates, the most likely among races to attend college, are expected to decline over this period.

“The competition is bigger now than it has been, and I think we have more informed consumers,” said Sarah Kottich, chief financial officer at College of Saint Mary in Omaha, Neb.

Gold’s Seasonality Paints A Clear Picture

Gold’s Seasonality Paints A Clear Picture

Since 1975, March has been the worst month for gold, followed by April as the second-worst. The months of June and July tend to be a quieter period as investors shift their focus prior to strong later summer and fall months.

September has been the best month for gold over the past 41 years. Coincidentally (or not), September is also the worst month for the S&P 500.

Since 1975, the second quarter of the year has been by far gold’s worst—with returns dead flat over the 41-year period—and this year has been no exception, with gold down about 1%. On the flip side, the third quarter has been the best, outperforming its closest rival, Q4, by a whopping 40%.

Source: LBMA

Who Is The Single Source Buyer Of Equities?

Who Is The Single Source Buyer Of Equities?

Since the financial crisis, there has been only one predominant buyer of stock: the companies themselves, who have engaged in the greatest debt-funded buyback spree in history.

According to a chart from Credit Suisse, CS’ strategist Andrew Garthwaite writes, “one of the major features of the US equity market since the low in 2009 is that the US corporate sector has bought 18% of market cap, while institutions have sold 7% of market cap.”

Hmm …

 

The Case For ‘Why Own Silver’!

The Case For ‘Why Own Silver’!

A lot of precious metals investors are solely focusing on gold, but let’s not forget about silver. Silver is sometimes called ‘the poor man’s gold’, but things may be changing fast on this market going forward.

2016 was the first year in more than a decade wherein the primary silver production (coming from mines either as a main product or a by-product credit) decreased. After seeing a total silver production of approximately 668 million ounces in 2007 increase to 891 million ounces in 2015, we saw a (first) decrease since the early 2000’s to 886 million ounces in 2016.

As you can see on the previous image, the total recovery from scrap and the inflow from hedges decreased as well, causing the total silver supply to decrease by approximately 3% to 1.007 billion ounces, the lowest level since 2013.

Whilst the total demand for silver also decreased to 1.028 billion ounces, 2016 was the fourth consecutive year with a supply deficit. Sure, the deficit was just 21 million ounces, but that’s entirely due to the lower demand for jewelry and investment purposes. As you can clearly see in the same table, the demand from those two end-uses was 519 million ounces in 2015, but fell to just 414 million ounces in 2016, a decrease of 105 million ounces.

One of the arguments of bears is the decreasing use of the precious metal in the photographic sector. It’s absolutely impossible to deny that, but it’s also already clearly visible in the trend since 2007. In 2007 the silver demand for the photographic sector was 117 million ounces 12.32% of the total world demand, but last year, the sector needed just 45 million ounces of silver, which is now just over 4% of the total world demand.

This means that even if the demand for photographic uses would drop to zero (which isn’t impossible, although the sector demand has remained relatively stable since 2013), this would most definitely NOT cause a shift of the demand curve. One main contributor to the steady demand would be the increased use of the photovoltaic sector, where the silver demand reached its highest point éver.

So the supply side of silver isn’t really slowing down (yes, the total demand was lower due to lower demand for investment uses), but the silver demand from industrial sectors is still at an elevated level.

Source: Ibidem

This also means the supply side will have to (try to) keep up with the demand. According to the Silver Institute, only 30% of the mine supply is coming from mines which have the commodity as a primary product. 12% comes from primary gold mines, whilst an additional 23% is mined as part of primary copper deposit. With the current low gold and copper price, not a lot of new mines will be developed which will put pressure on the supply side of the equation.

Fortunately 35% of the mine supply came from lead-zinc mines, and as these two commodities are performing well, it’s not unlikely more lead and zinc mines will be brought into production, boosting the silver output in the process. That being said, several larger zinc mines have been shut down and are still shutting down, and it looks like the average grade of the precious metal as a by-product in the ‘advanced stage’ zinc mines is dropping, perhaps even to a level where smelters don’t deem the silver to be payable due to low recovery rates in the process.

Long story short: the demand for silver is there ‘to stay’, but will the supply side be able to keep up with the demand? Scrap supply seems to have peaked, whilst it won’t be easy to increase the mine supply.

Source: By Secular Investor